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The Covid-19 Pandemic

by Ian Round7:09 pmNov 10, 20200

As Covid-19 trends worsen, Baltimore moves back to Phase I

Mayor Young limits gatherings to 10 people, reduces restaurant capacity to 25% and requires masks outdoors. His restrictions are tougher than those announced by Governor Hogan

Above: Rules on mask-wearing posted at a Hampden bar. Restrictions are about to tighten in Baltimore and statewide amid a Covid-19 resurgence. (Fern Shen)

The beginning of the long-awaited second wave is upon us.

Maryland is in better shape than most states, but troubling trends – a rise in cases, rates, hospitalizations and deaths – prompted Baltimore Mayor Bernard C. “Jack” Young to order new restrictions today and Maryland Gov. Larry Hogan to announce restrictions statewide.

Young is pulling the city back into “Phase I,” limiting in-person gatherings to 10 people, curbing restaurants to 25% capacity and requiring masks at all times in public – both indoors or out – effective Thursday at 5 p.m. Restaurants must close indoor dining rooms at 11.

“Listen to our public health experts, wear your face coverings, and practice social distancing,” Young said in a press release. “We are now more than 8 months into this pandemic. There is simply no excuse for ignoring the guidance when we know it will save lives.”

In “Danger Zone”

The city’s rules are stricter than Hogan’s, which go into effect tomorrow (Wednesday) at 5 p.m.

Hogan announced he would reduce restaurant capacity from 75% to 50%. He strongly warned against indoor gatherings of more than 25 people and out-of-state travel. State employees will be required to work from home.

Hogan said contact tracing has revealed some trends in how the virus spreads. Family gatherings are the highest-risk activity, he said. Many people who contract the virus report having eaten indoors or working outside of home.

Contact tracing has shown family gatherings are the highest-risk activity  – Gov. Larry Hogan.

“We have now crossed over into the danger zone,” Hogan said at a news conference today. “Too many residents and businesses have Covid fatigue, and they’re letting their guard down.”

Hogan noted the case rate is increasing dramatically in the state.

“Last week the average case rate was 14.5 per 100,000 – today it’s 19.8 per 100,000,” he said. “It’s increased 36% in just the past seven days.”

Maryland's covid case rate is in the federally designated

Maryland’s Covid-19 case rate has been rising sharply, Governor Hogan said. (Maryland Department of Health)

Up, Up, Up

Across Maryland, and more acutely in Baltimore, cases are up. So are the test positivity rate, hospitalizations and deaths.

Maryland’s seven-day moving average of Covid cases reached 1,375 on November 9, according to the Johns Hopkins University Coronavirus Resource Center.

The previous high was 1,211 in early May. The Maryland Department of Health also reports an all-time-high seven-day moving average, with slightly different numbers.

On Tuesday, 761 people were in intensive or acute care at a hospital, the highest number since June 13.

An adviser to Hogan said Tuesday that Maryland and the country are heading into the second wave, and that it will proceed differently than it did in the spring and summer.

Today 761 people were in intensive or acute care at a hospital, the highest number since June 13  – Maryland Health Department.

The curve won’t flatten as quickly this time, said Ted Delbridge, executive director of the Maryland Institute for Emergency Medical Services Systems (MIEMSS).

Delbridge predicted that the numbers could be high from December through February. He said he expects flu season, cold weather and low humidity to make things harder.

“We are definitely concerned that this is a longer lasting peak, and it’s going to go into the winter months,” Delbridge said. “It is just so incredibly important – I can’t miss this chance to reiterate – that people get a flu shot.”

Hogan said more restrictions are likely on the way.

“This must be an all-hands-on-deck effort,” he said. “Please wear a mask. A damn mask, if you have one.”

Outdoor dining in Hampden on a warm November afternoon. (Fern Shen)

Outdoor dining in Hampden on a warm November afternoon. (Fern Shen)

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